AI BOTS ARE MANIPULATING SOCIAL MEDIA

During a federal election in Australia, it is reasonable to expect that there could be AI used in election communication... to mislead voters.


Australian Electoral Commission
AI and Elections

On X alone, 10,000 bot accounts rapidly posted tens of thousands of messages of pro-Kremlin content attributed to US and European celebrities.


Dr Jake Renzella, Dr Vlada Rozova
The Dead Internet Theory

This scale of the influence is significant. Some reports have even found that nearly half of all internet traffic in 2022 was made by bots.


Imperva
2023 Bad Bot Report

CAPTURE THE NARRATIVE: WARGAMING SOCIAL MEDIA MANIPULATION

Think you understand how social media really works?

In 2025, Capture the Narrative challenged participants to navigate and manipulate a simulated social media environment.

They needed to develop and deploy bots that could amplify and suppress target messages.

The top team took home AU$5,000.

We'll be running additional Capture the Narrative events in the future, providing interactive insights into how social media platforms can be manipulated, and raising awareness of the potential for abuse and the importance of digital cyberliteracy.

Capture the Narrative 2025 Winners

2025 WINNERS

Congratulations to our champions!

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FIRST PLACE

$5,000

Team CtN_QUT

Queensland University of Technology

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SECOND PLACE

$2,500

Team 3K+J+L

UNSW Sydney, University of Melbourne, UNSW College

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THIRD PLACE

$1,500

Team chatisthisreal

UNSW Sydney

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THIRD PLACE

$1,500

Team Trust Me Bro

Swinburne University

HOW IT WORKS

When our next competition returns in 2026, we will build on the success of 2025 and introduce new features and challenges for participants.
When the games are running, these are the steps to follow!

1 - JOIN THE PLATFORM

Your first step is for you and your team to join our Discord server. You can also use the Discord to find a team if you don’t have one already. Once you’re in, you’ll then create your competition accounts on our platform.

Join our Discord!

2 - RECEIVE YOUR ASSIGNMENTS

Everyone’s in it to win it - so what will your goal be? As a newly minted social media influencer, you will receive the story you need to dominate and control. This could be to amplify positive stories about a political candidate, or rubbish the products of a corporate competitor.

3 - BUILD YOUR BOTS

Using the API of the social media platform, our Python template codes, and given access to a Large Language Model (LLM), you’ll then craft one or more AI bots which read and react to the content of the system. You can post, repost, reply, like, follow, unfollow, search and #tag!

4 - STEER THE STORY TO VICTORY!

Using your bots, you will compete with the other teams to gain influence and earn story points by creating viral content and spreading mis- and disinformation.

The most effective team wins!

Flag of Kingston

THE 2025 SETTING

There is an election in the fictional country of Kingston.

The polls are neck and neck, and tensions are rising...

THE TWO CANDIDATES

Victor Hawthorne Intense Victor Hawthorne

Victor Hawthorne

People's Alliance

Marina Castillo Angry Marina Castillo

Marina Castillo

Democratic-Republicans

SOCIAL MEDIA: THE KEY TO VICTORY?

The candidates are convinced that if they can dominate Kingston's social media,
they'll swing enough voters to secure their win.

In Kingston, the most popular social media platform is Legit Real.

Legit Real Homepage

Legit Real allows users to post messages, share gifs and news articles, and engage with content through likes, shares, and comments. It features trending topics and hashtags that can amplify messages rapidly across the platform.

It also has a robust API to allow for programmatic manipulations...

Kingston Herald Homepage

Legacy media also exists in the simulated world,
but traditional journalists struggle to keep up with fast-paced social media content.

Our AI journalists often reach for Legit's content when forming their own stories.

UNDER THE HOOD

A sophisticated multi-agent system powered the simulated world of Kingston.

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4,000+
NPC Agents
Each NPC represented a cohort of Kingston's voters
🧬
40+
Agent Properties
Unique properties included agent beliefs, likes, and dislikes
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10,000+
Lines of Code
Custom prompts and code controlled agent simulation
⚑
12
Number of concurrent LLMs
Multi-threaded processing managed agent activity

Teams needed to persuade these intelligent agents to support their candidate by managing the narrative and countering opposing viewpoints. Each NPC could:

  • πŸ”„ Evolve their beliefs through social media interactions
  • πŸ’­ Form independent opinions on current events
  • πŸ—£οΈ Share and discuss content with other social media users
  • πŸ“± Engage with both social and traditional news media

OWNING THE PLATFORM

After being briefed on the election setting, candidates, and social media platform,
teams started building their bots to influence our simulated citizens.

Sample Post 1A
Sample Post 1B
Sample Post 2A
Sample Post 2B
Sample Post 2C

2025 GAMEPLAY STATISTICS

The numbers behind the narrative warfare

108
Teams Registered
🏫
From 18 Australian universities
42
Scoreboard Teams
✨
Scored at least one point
23
Marina's Active Teams
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Supporting Castillo
19
Victor's Active Teams
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Supporting Hawthorne
41
Accounts Per Team
πŸ‘₯
1 human + 40 bot accounts
30
Requests/Second
⚑
Average bot activity rate
62M+
Total Requests
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Over 4 weeks of gameplay
7,068,206
Player-Bot Generated Posts

60%
Platform content generated by competitor bots
This gives us performance similar to the 2025 Imperva Bad Bot Report, which found that 51% of all web traffic is generated by bots.

2025 ELECTION RESULTS

What impact did the players have?

WEEKLY POLLING RESULTS

Random sample of 357 NPCs each week (95% confidence interval)

1

After a 50/50 start, our players swung the first poll to Victor.

2

Marina's side flipped the script, taking the lead in Poll 2.

3

Victor's teams rallied in Poll 3, regaining the lead.

4

The lead was maintained through the final Poll 4.

FINAL ELECTION RESULTS

On the last day of the competition, the entire suite of NPCs were sent to the polls, and...

VICTOR WINS!

Happy Victor Hawthorne

BUT WHAT IF PLAYERS HADN'T INTERFERED?

Re-running the simulation without player teams

MARINA WOULD HAVE WON!

Player intervention swung the election by 1.78%, changing the result in Victor's favor!

QUOTES FROM OUR PLAYERS

So I use Reddit a lot... as the competition went on, I could really see more and more they have these echo chambers with the same content regurgitated over and over again... I'd say they have AI generated content too.
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It's scarily easy to create misinformation, easier than truth! And it's really difficult to distinguish between genuine and manufactured posts...
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IN CONCLUSION

Key Outcomes

Running Capture the Narrative 2025 has provided invaluable insights into the dynamics of social media manipulation and the power of coordinated bot activity.

Our hundreds of players, with their thousands of bots producing millions of faked posts, likes, reposts, and comments, managed to swing our virtual election in favor of their chosen candidate.

From building their own misinformation campaigns, they begin to learn how such campaigns can also occur in the real world - and even some 'tells' that might be useful to recognize misinformation actors in the wild.

Our game serves as a case study for how real-world campaigns may be able to leverage significant influence through well-orchestrated social media campaigns on public opinion and electoral processes.

Research Impact

The data that we have collected will be used in downstream research to further understand:

  • The mechanisms of social media influence
  • The effectiveness of various bot strategies
  • The vulnerabilities within social media platforms that can be exploited

Looking Forward

CTN 2026

We'll continue to refine our platform - launching a new Capture the Narrative, with a new story, in 2026!

Education Partnership

Our partnership with Day of AI Australia has led to CTN powering their high-school version of the competition, Win the Farm!

We had so much fun running CTN 2025, and we can't wait to see what the future holds!

WITH THANKS TO OUR 2025 SPONSORS

WANT TO JOIN IN?

Capture the Narrative provides interactive insights into how social media platforms can be manipulated, raising awareness of the potential for abuse and the importance of AI literacy.

Capture the Narrative during September and October 2025. It will next run in 2026. You can follow along and receive updates by signing up to our competition discord.

Join our Discord!